tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3310402797768514899.post1248935013484159034..comments2023-11-05T03:39:11.575-05:00Comments on The Technical Take: Rydex Market Timers: Bearish And More!Guy M. Lernerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09198161809721597881noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3310402797768514899.post-11815268328743782502010-02-16T11:11:02.027-05:002010-02-16T11:11:02.027-05:00"The current value of the indicator stands at..."The current value of the indicator stands at 0.89 suggesting that the Rydex market timers are bearish, and this is a bullish signal."<br /><br />I'll wait exactly 6 trading days and that is the end of this week since these guys went bearish; see how this plays...<br /><br />Still think we might need to go lower first then up in order to get a low entry risk? I saw the sentiment from last week, everybody's neutral; when don't know what to do, you can do 2 thing: do nothing or buy the SPYDER.D-mannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3310402797768514899.post-50528931243478094822010-02-16T11:00:29.208-05:002010-02-16T11:00:29.208-05:00Dave: Here are my exact words from the article wri...Dave: Here are my exact words from the article written on 9/30/2009 as pertains to the Rydex data:<br /><br />"But before we finish this up, let me remind you that we haven't discovered the holy grail here. Figure 4 is an maximum adverse excursion (MAE) graph from study #2. If we look to the right of the blue vertical line, we note that about 10% of the trades had a trade down or maximum excursion beyond the entry point of greater than 6%. I would call a plus 6% draw down on a trade in the S&P500 as excessive and uncomfortable. Yet this is what we see with other sentiment data (i.e., like the "Dumb Money" indicator). Between 10 to 15% of the signals will yield draw downs that most traders find uncomfortable."<br /><br />"This is not a holy grail, but yet one tool to position yourself against the vast majority of traders and investors who function in the markets without a plan or a strategy."Guy M. Lernerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09198161809721597881noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3310402797768514899.post-36736798456054670332010-02-16T10:51:32.761-05:002010-02-16T10:51:32.761-05:00Dave
Here you go....check this out on the Rydex D...Dave<br /><br />Here you go....check this out on the Rydex Data: <br /><br /><a href="http://thetechnicaltakedotcom.blogspot.com/2009/09/same-drill.html" rel="nofollow">click here</a><br /><br />plus the strategy I outlined is filtered by the 200 day moving average <a href="http://thetechnicaltakedotcom.blogspot.com/2010/02/rydex-market-timers-becoming-more.html" rel="nofollow">click here for study</a>Guy M. Lernerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09198161809721597881noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3310402797768514899.post-74203802809521620092010-02-16T10:43:27.157-05:002010-02-16T10:43:27.157-05:00No such holy grail...and I have never passed this ...No such holy grail...and I have never passed this off as one...there are limitations as there have been several times in past where nothing worked....I did an article a while back and I cannot find it showing how the bullish and leverage v. bearish and leveraged behaved in all sorts of markets<br /><br />I will try to find later...Guy M. Lernerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09198161809721597881noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3310402797768514899.post-10945384052827040722010-02-16T09:47:25.969-05:002010-02-16T09:47:25.969-05:00The only question I have with this indicator is do...The only question I have with this indicator is does it work similarly over a longer timeframe, and especially during a primary downtrend.Dave Narbyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10773693145577366704noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3310402797768514899.post-17820800220178198942010-02-16T08:14:01.736-05:002010-02-16T08:14:01.736-05:00thanks but that is too kindthanks but that is too kindGuy M. Lernerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09198161809721597881noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3310402797768514899.post-48803208513435990692010-02-16T05:34:10.564-05:002010-02-16T05:34:10.564-05:00look forward to donating,your view on things is al...look forward to donating,your view on things is always thought provoking and provides a perspective that's unusual.diggernoreply@blogger.com