tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3310402797768514899.post4926317416867850424..comments2023-11-05T03:39:11.575-05:00Comments on The Technical Take: Reader Question: PredictabilityGuy M. Lernerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09198161809721597881noreply@blogger.comBlogger10125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3310402797768514899.post-74378519230264537152009-09-12T13:51:08.176-04:002009-09-12T13:51:08.176-04:00thought provoking as ever Guy,thank youthought provoking as ever Guy,thank yourigger morticenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3310402797768514899.post-88700954708037737662009-09-12T13:16:43.013-04:002009-09-12T13:16:43.013-04:00Guy: have you noticed Art Cashin's remarks thi...Guy: have you noticed Art Cashin's remarks this bull run has an eerie feel to the '87 bull run?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3310402797768514899.post-66895168376599422062009-09-11T23:50:33.137-04:002009-09-11T23:50:33.137-04:00LongShort:
It was a good question...LongShort:<br /><br />It was a good question...Guy M. Lernerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09198161809721597881noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3310402797768514899.post-52042099982519646992009-09-11T22:30:38.924-04:002009-09-11T22:30:38.924-04:00Guy,
That person was me and i appreciate the thou...Guy,<br /><br />That person was me and i appreciate the thoughtful response. <br /><br />My view is that we are in an unusual bull market - a market which remains overbought for much longer than anyone expects - making many stochastic indicators less predictable than in normal markets.<br /><br />Great blog.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3310402797768514899.post-56047763723645153982009-09-11T15:59:55.700-04:002009-09-11T15:59:55.700-04:00I'm sorry if I ask a stupid question...
Can y...I'm sorry if I ask a stupid question...<br /><br />Can you tell me where to look for dumb money, smart money, and insider trading data? I googled for a while, and couldn't find it.<br /><br />Thank you.<br /><br />By the way, I stubmled to your blog a while ago, and I'm very glad to read your insights on the stock market.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3310402797768514899.post-48923923571661799142009-09-11T13:50:48.955-04:002009-09-11T13:50:48.955-04:00Anon:
What you say about stocks are true --it isn...Anon:<br /><br />What you say about stocks are true --it isn't e=mc2. So I try to stick to major assets -i.e., level the playing field to what is in front of me.Guy M. Lernerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09198161809721597881noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3310402797768514899.post-42243456964760611962009-09-11T13:37:11.859-04:002009-09-11T13:37:11.859-04:00I agree Guy. The money is in assets under managem...I agree Guy. The money is in assets under management, not newsletters. For those truly gifted at trading, earning a living by trading is not bad either, but you have to have enough seed money and temperament to make a go of it. I enjoy your analysis, even though I may disagree with certain aspects of it. Unfortunately, there are so many variables that go into stock prices that I don't think it can be broken down to a single equation (like e=mc2)Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3310402797768514899.post-68309145771159658432009-09-11T10:21:26.930-04:002009-09-11T10:21:26.930-04:00Dacian:
Good question and thanks for the complime...Dacian:<br /><br />Good question and thanks for the compliment.<br /><br />From 2004 to 2007 -ish, I use to have a subscription based service, but I decided to discontinue that and start the blog.<br /><br />First, I was unable to maintain the back end or administrative end required; although all my customer credit card charges were automated, what do you do when you go to re-charge someone and there credit card expired; this took multiple months of back and forth emails to get accomplished.<br /><br />Second, I felt that I couldn't provide enough "juice" for the retail customer. When I wrote for TheStreet.com, I cannot remember one time where someone asked me about an idea's particular time frame or lost profile. It was always get me in at the bottom and get me the next 10% pop.<br /><br />Third, I have always been interested in quality - not quantity; and in my opinion, there is only so much information that impacts market movements. Why confuse readers with gazillions of useless data points.<br /><br />Fourth, it is my feeling, as explained to me by several security lawyers, that the best way to the brass ring is to manage money (if I can get some) as opposed to becoming a newsletter writer. So this is what I am working on.<br /><br />Fifth, there is so much good stuff for free on the web already so why would you pay for it.<br /><br />So those are just some of the reasons that I give it away free; I don't necessarily like it that way, but it is what it is!Guy M. Lernerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09198161809721597881noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3310402797768514899.post-36316201894626542952009-09-11T09:26:05.423-04:002009-09-11T09:26:05.423-04:00I sincerely appreciate all the work you and the in...I sincerely appreciate all the work you and the information you provide.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3310402797768514899.post-13202054460304001232009-09-11T08:51:31.153-04:002009-09-11T08:51:31.153-04:00I still can't understand why this is not a sub...I still can't understand why this is not a subscription based service?! :)Daciannoreply@blogger.com