Tuesday, February 9, 2010

Rydex Market Timers: Are Now Bearish!

Figure 1 is a daily chart of the S&P500. The indicator in the lower panel measures the ratio of the amount of assets in the Rydex bullish and leveraged funds relative to those funds that are bearish and leveraged.

Figure 1. S&P500/ daily/ Rydex Bullish and Leveraged v. Bearish and Leveraged

The current value of the indicator stands at 0.93 suggesting that the Rydex market timers are now bearish, and this is a bullish signal. See yesterday's strategy piece on how this signal is combined with the 200 day moving average.

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Guy, could you please show the Rydex Market Timers chart spanning 2007 and 2008 to get a historical perspective?

Good work!

Thank you.

Guy M. Lerner said...

which set of data are you talking about? I know you want rydex..but leveraged or something else?

Anonymous said...

That's very interesting. How can I get the Rydex bullish/bearish data in my charts?

Anonymous said...

Guy, I was talking about the same exact indicator as in this post (assets in the Rydex bullish and leveraged funds relative to those funds that are bearish and leveraged) except to have the chart go back to 2007 and 2008, not just 2009. In short, same indicator more history.